1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.65
xG Away
1.01
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Celta de Vigo an expected 1.6 goals and Alavés an expected 1.0 goals. Celta de Vigo have a 52% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Alavés at 23%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.7%
1:0
11.6%
2:1
9.6%
2:0
9.6%
0:1
7.1%
0:0
7%
1:2
5.9%
3:1
5.3%
3:0
5.3%
2:2
4.8%
0:2
3.6%
3:2
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Celta de Vigo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 52% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.92 |
| Market Odds | 2.05 |
Team Comparison
| Celta de Vigo | Alavés | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 14 |
| 54 | Points | 43 |
| 37% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
Venue Form
Celta de Vigo at Home
W1
D2
L2
(5 games)
Alavés Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Celta de Vigo
D
D
L
W
L
Alavés
D
L
