1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.18
xG Away
1.26
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Cagliari an expected 1.2 goals and Udinese an expected 1.3 goals. Cagliari have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Udinese at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13%
0:1
10.9%
1:0
10.3%
0:0
8.7%
1:2
8.2%
2:1
7.7%
0:2
6.9%
2:0
6.1%
2:2
4.8%
1:3
3.4%
3:1
3%
0:3
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Udinese Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Cagliari | Udinese | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 10 |
| 43 | Points | 50 |
| 29% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
Venue Form
Cagliari at Home
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Udinese Away
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Cagliari
L
W
L
W
Udinese
L
W
D
L
