1
48%
Home Win
2.1
X
26%
Draw
3.87
2
26%
Away Win
3.78
xG Home
1.50
xG Away
1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Bristol City an expected 1.5 goals and Watford an expected 1.1 goals. Bristol City have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Watford at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.3%
1:0
11.7%
2:1
9.2%
2:0
8.8%
0:1
8.2%
0:0
7.8%
1:2
6.5%
2:2
4.8%
3:1
4.6%
3:0
4.4%
0:2
4.3%
3:2
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Bristol City Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| Bristol City | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 16 |
| 62 | Points | 57 |
| 37% | Win % | 30% |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.15 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
Venue Form
Bristol City at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Watford Away
W0
D0
L4
(4 games)
Recent Form
Bristol City
L
W
L
Watford
L
L
L
L
