1
49%
Home Win
2.04
X
26%
Draw
3.81
2
25%
Away Win
4.03
xG Home
1.48
xG Away
0.97
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Bristol City an expected 1.5 goals and Portsmouth FC an expected 1.0 goals. Bristol City have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Portsmouth FC at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
12.8%
1:1
12.4%
2:0
9.4%
2:1
9.2%
0:0
8.6%
0:1
8.4%
1:2
6%
3:0
4.7%
3:1
4.5%
2:2
4.5%
0:2
4.1%
3:2
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Bristol City Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| Bristol City | Portsmouth FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 18 |
| 62 | Points | 55 |
| 37% | Win % | 30% |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.07 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.39 |
Venue Form
Bristol City at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Portsmouth FC Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Bristol City
W
L
Portsmouth FC
W
L
D
