1
50%
Home Win
2.01
X
25%
Draw
3.98
2
25%
Away Win
3.97
xG Home
1.58
xG Away
1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Brighton an expected 1.6 goals and Leeds an expected 1.1 goals. Brighton have a 50% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Leeds at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.9%
1:0
11.4%
2:1
9.5%
2:0
9%
0:1
7.5%
0:0
7.2%
1:2
6.3%
3:1
5%
2:2
5%
3:0
4.7%
0:2
4%
3:2
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Brighton Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Brighton | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 14 |
| 53 | Points | 47 |
| 37% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
Venue Form
Brighton at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Leeds Away
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Brighton
W
W
W
Leeds
D
D
