1
47%
Home Win
2.14
X
27%
Draw
3.76
2
27%
Away Win
3.74
xG Home
1.44
xG Away
1.02
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Brentford an expected 1.4 goals and Sunderland an expected 1.0 goals. Brentford have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Sunderland at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.6%
1:0
12.3%
2:1
9%
2:0
8.9%
0:1
8.7%
0:0
8.6%
1:2
6.4%
2:2
4.6%
0:2
4.5%
3:1
4.3%
3:0
4.2%
3:2
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Brentford Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| Brentford | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 7 |
| 53 | Points | 54 |
| 37% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
Venue Form
Brentford at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Sunderland Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Brentford
W
D
W
Sunderland
D
L
