1
44%
Home Win
2.29
X
24%
Draw
4.17
2
32%
Away Win
3.08
xG Home
1.64
xG Away
1.39
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
60%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Bournemouth an expected 1.6 goals and Brentford an expected 1.4 goals. Bournemouth have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Brentford at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11%
2:1
9%
1:0
8%
1:2
7.6%
0:1
6.7%
2:0
6.5%
2:2
6.3%
3:1
4.9%
0:0
4.9%
0:2
4.7%
3:0
3.6%
1:3
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Bournemouth Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Bournemouth | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 9 |
| 57 | Points | 53 |
| 34% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.37 |
Venue Form
Bournemouth at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Brentford Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Bournemouth
W
D
Brentford
L
L
