1
33%
Home Win
3.04
X
28%
Draw
3.63
2
40%
Away Win
2.52
xG Home
1.13
xG Away
1.27
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Botafogo an expected 1.1 goals and Palmeiras an expected 1.3 goals. Botafogo have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Palmeiras at 40%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13%
0:1
11.5%
1:0
10.2%
0:0
9%
1:2
8.3%
2:1
7.4%
0:2
7.3%
2:0
5.8%
2:2
4.7%
1:3
3.5%
0:3
3.1%
3:1
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Palmeiras Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Botafogo | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 2 |
| 63 | Points | 76 |
| 45% | Win % | 61% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.74 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.87 |
Venue Form
Botafogo at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Palmeiras Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Botafogo
L
D
Palmeiras
W
D
W
