Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 19 Sep 2026 · Bundesliga
1 39%
Home Win 2.53
X 27%
Draw 3.66
2 33%
Away Win 3.01
xG Home 1.29
xG Away 1.15
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
BTTS 50%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Borussia Mönchengladbach an expected 1.3 goals and FSV Mainz 05 an expected 1.2 goals. Borussia Mönchengladbach have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and FSV Mainz 05 at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.9%
1:0 11.2%
0:1 10.1%
0:0 8.7%
2:1 8.3%
1:2 7.5%
2:0 7.2%
0:2 5.8%
2:2 4.8%
3:1 3.6%
3:0 3.1%
1:3 2.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Borussia Mönchengladbach Win
Probability 39%
Predicted Odds 2.56
Market Odds 2.73

Team Comparison

Borussia Mönchengladbach FSV Mainz 05
12 League Position 10
38 Points 40
26% Win % 29%
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56

Venue Form

Borussia Mönchengladbach at Home
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate
FSV Mainz 05 Away
W2 D1 L1 (4 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Borussia Mönchengladbach
L W D
FSV Mainz 05
W W D L