Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.26
xG Away 1.71
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
BTTS 59%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Borussia Mönchengladbach an expected 1.3 goals and 1899 Hoffenheim an expected 1.7 goals. Borussia Mönchengladbach have a 28% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and 1899 Hoffenheim at 48%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.1%
1:2 9.4%
0:1 8.8%
0:2 7.5%
2:1 7%
1:0 6.5%
2:2 6%
1:3 5.4%
0:0 5.1%
0:3 4.3%
2:0 4.1%
2:3 3.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick 1899 Hoffenheim Win
Probability 48%
Predicted Odds 2.08
Market Odds 2.22

Team Comparison

Borussia Mönchengladbach 1899 Hoffenheim
12 League Position 5
38 Points 61
26% Win % 53%
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.91
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53

Venue Form

Borussia Mönchengladbach at Home
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate
1899 Hoffenheim Away
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Borussia Mönchengladbach
L W D
1899 Hoffenheim
L W