1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.51
xG Away
1.12
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Bologna an expected 1.5 goals and Sassuolo an expected 1.1 goals. Bologna have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Sassuolo at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.2%
1:0
10.9%
2:1
9.2%
2:0
8.2%
0:1
8.1%
0:0
7.2%
1:2
6.8%
2:2
5.1%
3:1
4.6%
0:2
4.5%
3:0
4.1%
3:2
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Bologna Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Bologna | Sassuolo | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 11 |
| 56 | Points | 49 |
| 42% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Bologna at Home
W0
D3
L1
(4 games)
Sassuolo Away
W0
D2
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
Bologna
D
D
L
D
Sassuolo
L
L
D
L
D
