1
18%
Home Win
5.7
X
20%
Draw
5.03
2
63%
Away Win
1.6
xG Home
1.06
xG Away
2.16
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Bologna an expected 1.1 goals and Inter an expected 2.2 goals. Bologna have a 18% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Inter at 63%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
9.9%
0:2
9.3%
1:1
9.1%
0:1
8.6%
1:3
7.1%
0:3
6.7%
2:2
5.2%
2:1
4.8%
1:0
4.2%
0:0
4%
1:4
3.9%
2:3
3.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Inter Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Bologna | Inter | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 1 |
| 56 | Points | 87 |
| 42% | Win % | 71% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.34 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.92 |
Venue Form
Bologna at Home
W0
D3
L1
(4 games)
Inter Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Bologna
D
D
L
D
Inter
W
D
Head to Head
Inter
3 : 1
Bologna
L
Bologna
1 : 1
Inter
D
Bologna
1 : 0
Inter
L
