1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.77
xG Away
0.81
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Beijing Guoan an expected 1.8 goals and Qingdao Youth Island an expected 0.8 goals. Beijing Guoan have a 60% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Qingdao Youth Island at 17%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.5%
2:0
11.9%
1:1
10.9%
2:1
9.6%
0:0
7.6%
3:0
7%
0:1
6.1%
3:1
5.7%
1:2
4.4%
2:2
3.9%
4:0
3.1%
4:1
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Beijing Guoan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 60% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.67 |
| Market Odds | 1.77 |
Team Comparison
| Beijing Guoan | Qingdao Youth Island | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 7 |
| 47 | Points | 39 |
| 48% | Win % | 28% |
| 1.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.1 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.31 |
Venue Form
Beijing Guoan at Home
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Qingdao Youth Island Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Beijing Guoan
D
W
W
W
Qingdao Youth Island
D
W
