1
89%
Home Win
1.13
X
6%
Draw
16.53
2
3%
Away Win
33.22
xG Home
4.09
xG Away
0.78
Over 2.5 Goals
84%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Bayern Munich an expected 4.1 goals and Union Berlin an expected 0.8 goals. Bayern Munich have a 89% win probability, draw stands at 6%, and Union Berlin at 3%. The most likely exact scoreline is 4–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 84%.
Correct Score Predictions
4:0
8.9%
3:0
8.7%
4:1
7%
3:1
6.8%
2:0
6.4%
2:1
5%
1:0
3.1%
4:2
2.7%
3:2
2.7%
1:1
2.5%
2:2
2%
1:2
1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Bayern Munich Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 89% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.12 |
| Market Odds | 1.2 |
Team Comparison
| Bayern Munich | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 11 |
| 89 | Points | 39 |
| 82% | Win % | 29% |
| 3.59 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.71 |
Venue Form
Bayern Munich at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Union Berlin Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Bayern Munich
D
W
W
Union Berlin
L
W
L