1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
3.31
xG Away
1.18
Over 2.5 Goals
82%
BTTS
66%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Bayern Munich an expected 3.3 goals and RB Leipzig an expected 1.2 goals. Bayern Munich have a 78% win probability, draw stands at 12%, and RB Leipzig at 10%. The most likely exact scoreline is 3–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 82%.
Correct Score Predictions
3:1
8%
2:1
7.3%
3:0
6.8%
4:1
6.6%
2:0
6.2%
4:0
5.6%
3:2
4.7%
1:1
4.4%
2:2
4.3%
4:2
3.9%
1:0
3.7%
1:2
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Bayern Munich Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 78% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.28 |
| Market Odds | 1.36 |
Team Comparison
| Bayern Munich | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 3 |
| 89 | Points | 65 |
| 82% | Win % | 59% |
| 3.59 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.94 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
Venue Form
Bayern Munich at Home
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
RB Leipzig Away
W1
D0
L4
(5 games)
Recent Form
Bayern Munich
W
D
W
W
RB Leipzig
L
L
L
W
L
