Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 16 May 2026 · Bundesliga
1 48%
Home Win 2.08
X 23%
Draw 4.26
2 28%
Away Win 3.51
xG Home 1.75
xG Away 1.29
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
BTTS 60%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Bayern München an expected 1.7 goals and 1. FC Köln an expected 1.3 goals. Bayern München have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and 1. FC Köln at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10.8%
2:1 9.4%
1:0 8.3%
2:0 7.3%
1:2 7%
0:1 6.2%
2:2 6.1%
3:1 5.5%
0:0 4.8%
3:0 4.2%
0:2 4%
3:2 3.6%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Bayern München Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Venue Form

Bayern München at Home
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate
1. FC Köln Away
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Bayern München
W
1. FC Köln
L

Head to Head

14 Jan 2026 Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1 : 3 Bayern München
W
29 Oct 2025 DFB Pokal
1. FC Köln 1 : 4 Bayern München
W
13 Apr 2024 Bundesliga
Bayern Munich 2 : 0 1. FC Köln
W