1
45%
Home Win
2.21
X
22%
Draw
4.46
2
32%
Away Win
3.09
xG Home
1.85
xG Away
1.54
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS
66%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Bayer Leverkusen an expected 1.8 goals and RB Leipzig an expected 1.5 goals. Bayer Leverkusen have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and RB Leipzig at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
9.6%
2:1
8.9%
1:2
7.4%
2:2
6.8%
1:0
6.3%
2:0
5.8%
3:1
5.5%
0:1
5.2%
3:2
4.2%
0:2
4%
1:3
3.8%
3:0
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Bayer Leverkusen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Bayer Leverkusen | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 3 |
| 59 | Points | 65 |
| 50% | Win % | 59% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.94 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
Venue Form
Bayer Leverkusen at Home
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
RB Leipzig Away
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Bayer Leverkusen
W
W
L
W
RB Leipzig
L
L
W
L
