1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.15
xG Away
0.43
Over 2.5 Goals
21%
BTTS
24%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Baltika an expected 1.2 goals and FC Rostov an expected 0.4 goals. Baltika have a 54% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and FC Rostov at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 79%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
23.8%
0:0
20.7%
2:0
13.7%
1:1
10.1%
0:1
8.8%
2:1
5.8%
3:0
5.2%
3:1
2.2%
1:2
2.2%
0:2
1.9%
4:0
1.5%
2:2
1.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Baltika Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 54% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.85 |
| Market Odds | 1.97 |
Team Comparison
| Baltika | FC Rostov | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 10 |
| 46 | Points | 33 |
| 37% | Win % | 27% |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.83 |
| 0.7 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
Venue Form
Baltika at Home
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
FC Rostov Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Baltika
L
L
FC Rostov
L
W
