1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.13
xG Away
1.36
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Bahia an expected 1.1 goals and Botafogo an expected 1.4 goals. Bahia have a 31% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Botafogo at 42%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.8%
0:1
11.3%
1:0
9.4%
1:2
8.7%
0:0
8.4%
0:2
7.7%
2:1
7.2%
2:0
5.3%
2:2
4.9%
1:3
3.9%
0:3
3.5%
3:1
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Botafogo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Bahia | Botafogo | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 6 |
| 60 | Points | 63 |
| 45% | Win % | 45% |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Bahia at Home
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Botafogo Away
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Bahia
W
W
L
D
Botafogo
L
D
W
L
Head to Head
Botafogo
2 : 1
Bahia
L
Bahia
1 : 0
Botafogo
L
Bahia
0 : 0
Botafogo
D
