1
22%
Home Win
4.47
X
35%
Draw
2.82
2
42%
Away Win
2.37
xG Home
0.59
xG Away
0.94
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
BTTS
27%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Avispa Fukuoka an expected 0.6 goals and Sanfrecce Hiroshima an expected 0.9 goals. Avispa Fukuoka have a 22% win probability, draw stands at 35%, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 42%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 80%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
21.7%
0:1
20.3%
1:0
12.9%
1:1
12%
0:2
9.5%
1:2
5.6%
2:0
3.8%
2:1
3.6%
0:3
3%
1:3
1.8%
2:2
1.7%
3:0
0.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| Avispa Fukuoka | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 4 |
| 48 | Points | 68 |
| 32% | Win % | 53% |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.74 |
Venue Form
Avispa Fukuoka at Home
W0
D4
L0
(4 games)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Away
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Avispa Fukuoka
D
D
D
D
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
W
W
L
