1
36%
Home Win
2.78
X
27%
Draw
3.64
2
37%
Away Win
2.74
xG Home
1.21
xG Away
1.22
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Avispa Fukuoka an expected 1.2 goals and Cerezo Osaka an expected 1.2 goals. Avispa Fukuoka have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Cerezo Osaka at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13%
0:1
10.7%
1:0
10.7%
0:0
8.8%
1:2
7.9%
2:1
7.9%
0:2
6.6%
2:0
6.4%
2:2
4.8%
1:3
3.2%
3:1
3.2%
0:3
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cerezo Osaka Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Avispa Fukuoka | Cerezo Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 10 |
| 48 | Points | 52 |
| 32% | Win % | 37% |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.58 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Avispa Fukuoka at Home
W0
D3
L0
(3 games)
Cerezo Osaka Away
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Avispa Fukuoka
D
D
D
Cerezo Osaka
W
D
L
W
