1
40%
Home Win
2.5
X
28%
Draw
3.55
2
32%
Away Win
3.14
xG Home
1.24
xG Away
1.07
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Auxerre an expected 1.2 goals and Stade Brestois 29 an expected 1.1 goals. Auxerre have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Stade Brestois 29 at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.2%
1:0
12.3%
0:1
10.6%
0:0
9.9%
2:1
8.2%
2:0
7.6%
1:2
7.1%
0:2
5.7%
2:2
4.4%
3:1
3.4%
3:0
3.1%
1:3
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Auxerre Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Auxerre | Stade Brestois 29 | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 12 |
| 34 | Points | 39 |
| 24% | Win % | 29% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.62 |
Venue Form
Auxerre at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Stade Brestois 29 Away
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Auxerre
W
W
Stade Brestois 29
W
L
L
D
