1
47%
Home Win
2.14
X
28%
Draw
3.61
2
26%
Away Win
3.9
xG Home
1.35
xG Away
0.92
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Auxerre an expected 1.4 goals and Nice an expected 0.9 goals. Auxerre have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Nice at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.9%
1:1
12.8%
0:0
10.3%
0:1
9.5%
2:0
9.4%
2:1
8.7%
1:2
5.9%
0:2
4.4%
3:0
4.2%
2:2
4%
3:1
3.9%
1:3
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Auxerre Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| Auxerre | Nice | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 16 |
| 34 | Points | 32 |
| 24% | Win % | 21% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
Venue Form
Auxerre at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Nice Away
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Auxerre
W
W
Nice
L
D
D
