1
44%
Home Win
2.29
X
32%
Draw
3.12
2
24%
Away Win
4.12
xG Home
1.08
xG Away
0.72
Over 2.5 Goals
27%
BTTS
34%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Auxerre an expected 1.1 goals and Angers an expected 0.7 goals. Auxerre have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and Angers at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 73%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
17.8%
0:0
16.4%
1:1
12.9%
0:1
11.9%
2:0
9.6%
2:1
7%
1:2
4.7%
0:2
4.3%
3:0
3.5%
2:2
2.5%
3:1
2.5%
1:3
1.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Auxerre Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Auxerre | Angers | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 13 |
| 34 | Points | 36 |
| 24% | Win % | 26% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.85 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
Venue Form
Auxerre at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Angers Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Auxerre
W
W
Angers
L
L
