1
38%
Home Win
2.65
X
31%
Draw
3.22
2
31%
Away Win
3.19
xG Home
1.05
xG Away
0.93
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
BTTS
39%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Atlas an expected 1.0 goals and Monterrey an expected 0.9 goals. Atlas have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and Monterrey at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.5%
0:0
13.9%
1:1
13.5%
0:1
12.9%
2:0
7.6%
2:1
7.1%
1:2
6.2%
0:2
6%
2:2
3.3%
3:0
2.7%
3:1
2.5%
1:3
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Atlas Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Atlas | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 13 |
| 26 | Points | 18 |
| 41% | Win % | 29% |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
Venue Form
Atlas at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Monterrey Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Atlas
L
D
Monterrey
L
