1
37%
Home Win
2.68
X
26%
Draw
3.88
2
37%
Away Win
2.71
xG Home
1.36
xG Away
1.35
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Athletic Club an expected 1.4 goals and Elche an expected 1.4 goals. Athletic Club have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Elche at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.2%
1:0
9%
0:1
9%
2:1
8.3%
1:2
8.3%
0:0
6.6%
2:0
6.1%
0:2
6.1%
2:2
5.6%
3:1
3.8%
1:3
3.7%
3:0
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Athletic Club Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Athletic Club | Elche | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 15 |
| 45 | Points | 43 |
| 34% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Athletic Club at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Elche Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Athletic Club
W
L
W
Elche
L
L
W
