1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.46
xG Away
1.08
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Athletic Club an expected 1.5 goals and Celta Vigo an expected 1.1 goals. Athletic Club have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Celta Vigo at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.5%
1:0
11.6%
2:1
9.1%
0:1
8.6%
2:0
8.4%
0:0
7.9%
1:2
6.7%
2:2
4.9%
0:2
4.6%
3:1
4.4%
3:0
4.1%
1:3
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Athletic Club Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 35% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.86 |
| Market Odds | 3.04 |
Venue Form
Athletic Club at Home
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Celta Vigo Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Athletic Club
D
Celta Vigo
D
Head to Head
Celta Vigo
2 : 0
Athletic Club
L
Celta Vigo
1 : 2
Athletic Club
W
Athletic Club
3 : 1
Celta Vigo
W
