1
59%
Home Win
1.69
X
24%
Draw
4.15
2
17%
Away Win
5.93
xG Home
1.67
xG Away
0.76
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Atalanta an expected 1.7 goals and Cagliari an expected 0.8 goals. Atalanta have a 59% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Cagliari at 17%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.7%
2:0
12.3%
1:1
11.2%
2:1
9.3%
0:0
8.8%
3:0
6.8%
0:1
6.7%
3:1
5.2%
1:2
4.3%
2:2
3.5%
4:0
2.8%
0:2
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Atalanta Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 59% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.69 |
| Market Odds | 1.8 |
Team Comparison
| Atalanta | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 14 |
| 59 | Points | 43 |
| 39% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.05 |
| 0.95 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.39 |
Venue Form
Atalanta at Home
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Cagliari Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Atalanta
D
Cagliari
D
