1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.31
xG Away
0.84
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives AS Roma an expected 1.3 goals and Atalanta an expected 0.8 goals. AS Roma have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Atalanta at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.3%
1:1
12.8%
0:0
11.7%
2:0
10%
0:1
9.8%
2:1
8.4%
1:2
5.4%
3:0
4.4%
0:2
4.1%
3:1
3.7%
2:2
3.5%
3:2
1.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | AS Roma Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| AS Roma | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 7 |
| 73 | Points | 59 |
| 61% | Win % | 39% |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.34 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.95 |
Venue Form
AS Roma at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Atalanta Away
W1
D2
L3
(6 games)
Recent Form
AS Roma
W
W
D
Atalanta
L
L
D
W
L
