1
19%
Home Win
5.34
X
27%
Draw
3.67
2
54%
Away Win
1.85
xG Home
0.71
xG Away
1.42
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
39%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Angers an expected 0.7 goals and Lille an expected 1.4 goals. Angers have a 19% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Lille at 54%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
16.9%
1:1
12%
0:2
12%
0:0
11.9%
1:2
8.5%
1:0
8.5%
0:3
5.7%
2:1
4.3%
1:3
4%
2:2
3%
2:0
3%
0:4
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lille Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 54% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.85 |
| Market Odds | 1.97 |
Team Comparison
| Angers | Lille | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 3 |
| 36 | Points | 61 |
| 26% | Win % | 53% |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.09 |
Venue Form
Angers at Home
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Lille Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Angers
D
L
D
Lille
W
W
D