1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.46
xG Away
0.92
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Akhmat Grozny an expected 1.5 goals and Orenburg an expected 0.9 goals. Akhmat Grozny have a 50% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Orenburg at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.6%
1:1
12.4%
2:0
9.9%
0:0
9.3%
2:1
9.1%
0:1
8.5%
1:2
5.7%
3:0
4.8%
3:1
4.4%
2:2
4.2%
0:2
3.9%
3:2
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Akhmat Grozny Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Akhmat Grozny | Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 12 |
| 37 | Points | 29 |
| 30% | Win % | 23% |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.97 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
Venue Form
Akhmat Grozny at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Akhmat Grozny
W
L
