1
51%
Home Win
1.94
X
30%
Draw
3.3
2
18%
Away Win
5.49
xG Home
1.22
xG Away
0.60
Over 2.5 Goals
28%
BTTS
32%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Akhmat Grozny an expected 1.2 goals and Makhachkala an expected 0.6 goals. Akhmat Grozny have a 51% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Makhachkala at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 72%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
19.7%
0:0
16.1%
2:0
12.1%
1:1
11.9%
0:1
9.7%
2:1
7.3%
3:0
4.9%
1:2
3.6%
3:1
3%
0:2
2.9%
2:2
2.2%
4:0
1.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Akhmat Grozny Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| Akhmat Grozny | Makhachkala | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 14 |
| 37 | Points | 26 |
| 30% | Win % | 17% |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.63 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.23 |
Venue Form
Akhmat Grozny at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Akhmat Grozny
L
