1
64%
Home Win
1.57
X
21%
Draw
4.75
2
15%
Away Win
6.57
xG Home
1.95
xG Away
0.83
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Zenit Saint Petersburg an expected 2.0 goals and Lokomotiv Moscow an expected 0.8 goals. Zenit Saint Petersburg have a 64% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Lokomotiv Moscow at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
12%
2:0
11.8%
1:1
10%
2:1
9.8%
3:0
7.7%
3:1
6.4%
0:0
6.2%
0:1
5.1%
1:2
4.2%
2:2
4.1%
4:0
3.7%
4:1
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Zenit Saint Petersburg Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 64% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.56 |
| Market Odds | 1.66 |
Team Comparison
| Zenit Saint Petersburg | Lokomotiv Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 3 |
| 68 | Points | 53 |
| 67% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.8 |
| 0.63 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
Venue Form
Zenit Saint Petersburg at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Lokomotiv Moscow Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Zenit Saint Petersburg
L
Lokomotiv Moscow
W
