1
61%
Home Win
1.64
X
24%
Draw
4.16
2
15%
Away Win
6.66
xG Home
1.65
xG Away
0.68
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
BTTS
40%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Zenit Saint Petersburg an expected 1.7 goals and CSKA Moscow an expected 0.7 goals. Zenit Saint Petersburg have a 61% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and CSKA Moscow at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
16.1%
2:0
13.3%
1:1
10.9%
0:0
9.7%
2:1
9%
3:0
7.3%
0:1
6.6%
3:1
5%
1:2
3.7%
2:2
3.1%
4:0
3%
0:2
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Zenit Saint Petersburg Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 61% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.64 |
| Market Odds | 1.74 |
Team Comparison
| Zenit Saint Petersburg | CSKA Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 5 |
| 68 | Points | 51 |
| 67% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.47 |
| 0.63 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.1 |
