Zenit Saint Petersburg vs CSKA Moscow Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 · Russian Premier League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.65
xG Away 0.68
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
BTTS 40%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Zenit Saint Petersburg an expected 1.7 goals and CSKA Moscow an expected 0.7 goals. Zenit Saint Petersburg have a 61% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and CSKA Moscow at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 16.1%
2:0 13.3%
1:1 10.9%
0:0 9.7%
2:1 9%
3:0 7.3%
0:1 6.6%
3:1 5%
1:2 3.7%
2:2 3.1%
4:0 3%
0:2 2.2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Zenit Saint Petersburg Win
Probability 61%
Predicted Odds 1.64
Market Odds 1.74

Team Comparison

Zenit Saint Petersburg CSKA Moscow
1 League Position 5
68 Points 51
67% Win % 50%
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
0.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1

Venue Form

Zenit Saint Petersburg at Home
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate
CSKA Moscow Away
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Zenit Saint Petersburg
L
CSKA Moscow
W