1
48%
Home Win
2.09
X
26%
Draw
3.87
2
26%
Away Win
3.8
xG Home
1.51
xG Away
1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Zaglebie Lubin an expected 1.5 goals and Pogoń Szczecin an expected 1.0 goals. Zaglebie Lubin have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Pogoń Szczecin at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.3%
1:0
11.7%
2:1
9.2%
2:0
8.8%
0:1
8.1%
0:0
7.8%
1:2
6.4%
2:2
4.8%
3:1
4.6%
3:0
4.4%
0:2
4.3%
3:2
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Zaglebie Lubin Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| Zaglebie Lubin | Pogoń Szczecin | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 9 |
| 48 | Points | 45 |
| 38% | Win % | 38% |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
Venue Form
Zaglebie Lubin at Home
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Pogoń Szczecin Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Zaglebie Lubin
W
L
D
L
Pogoń Szczecin
W
L
D