1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.37
xG Away
1.64
Over 2.5 Goals
76%
BTTS
73%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Yunnan Yukun an expected 2.4 goals and Sichuan Jiuniu an expected 1.6 goals. Yunnan Yukun have a 54% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Sichuan Jiuniu at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 76%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
8.4%
1:1
7%
2:2
6.8%
3:1
6.6%
1:2
5.8%
3:2
5.4%
2:0
5.1%
1:0
4.3%
3:0
4%
4:1
3.9%
2:3
3.7%
4:2
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Yunnan Yukun Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Yunnan Yukun | Sichuan Jiuniu | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 11 |
| 40 | Points | 32 |
| 38% | Win % | 31% |
| 1.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.34 |
| 2.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
Venue Form
Yunnan Yukun at Home
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
Sichuan Jiuniu Away
W0
D1
L4
(5 games)
Recent Form
Yunnan Yukun
D
W
D
W
Sichuan Jiuniu
L
D
L
L
L
Head to Head
Sichuan Jiuniu
3 : 4
Yunnan Yukun
W
Yunnan Yukun
3 : 1
Sichuan Jiuniu
L
Sichuan Jiuniu
3 : 4
Yunnan Yukun
W
