1
59%
Home Win
1.7
X
19%
Draw
5.38
2
23%
Away Win
4.43
xG Home
2.51
xG Away
1.53
Over 2.5 Goals
77%
BTTS
72%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Yunnan Yukun an expected 2.5 goals and Sichuan Jiuniu an expected 1.5 goals. Yunnan Yukun have a 59% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Sichuan Jiuniu at 23%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 77%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
8.5%
3:1
7.1%
1:1
6.8%
2:2
6.5%
2:0
5.5%
3:2
5.4%
1:2
5.2%
3:0
4.6%
4:1
4.4%
1:0
4.4%
4:2
3.4%
2:3
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Yunnan Yukun Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Yunnan Yukun | Sichuan Jiuniu | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 11 |
| 38 | Points | 28 |
| 42% | Win % | 31% |
| 2.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.31 |
| 1.96 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.73 |
Venue Form
Yunnan Yukun at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Sichuan Jiuniu Away
W0
D1
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Yunnan Yukun
W
D
W
Sichuan Jiuniu
D
L
L
L
Head to Head
Sichuan Jiuniu
3 : 4
Yunnan Yukun
W
Yunnan Yukun
3 : 1
Sichuan Jiuniu
L
Sichuan Jiuniu
3 : 4
Yunnan Yukun
W