1
57%
Home Win
1.76
X
20%
Draw
5.11
2
24%
Away Win
4.23
xG Home
2.33
xG Away
1.47
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
BTTS
69%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Yunnan Yukun an expected 2.3 goals and Sichuan Jiuniu an expected 1.5 goals. Yunnan Yukun have a 57% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Sichuan Jiuniu at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 73%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
8.9%
1:1
7.7%
3:1
6.9%
2:2
6.6%
2:0
6.1%
1:2
5.6%
1:0
5.2%
3:2
5.1%
3:0
4.7%
4:1
4%
0:1
3.3%
2:3
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Yunnan Yukun Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Yunnan Yukun | Sichuan Jiuniu | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 10 |
| 25 | Points | 20 |
| 37% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.32 |
| 1.84 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.74 |
Venue Form
Yunnan Yukun at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Sichuan Jiuniu Away
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Recent Form
Yunnan Yukun
D
W
Sichuan Jiuniu
L
L
L
Head to Head
Sichuan Jiuniu
3 : 4
Yunnan Yukun
W
Yunnan Yukun
3 : 1
Sichuan Jiuniu
L
Sichuan Jiuniu
3 : 4
Yunnan Yukun
W
