1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.42
xG Away
1.72
Over 2.5 Goals
78%
BTTS
75%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Yunnan Yukun an expected 2.4 goals and Shenyang Urban an expected 1.7 goals. Yunnan Yukun have a 53% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Shenyang Urban at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 78%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
8%
2:2
6.9%
1:1
6.6%
3:1
6.5%
1:2
5.7%
3:2
5.6%
2:0
4.7%
2:3
4%
4:1
3.9%
1:0
3.8%
3:0
3.8%
4:2
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Yunnan Yukun Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 53% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.89 |
| Market Odds | 2.01 |
Team Comparison
| Yunnan Yukun | Shenyang Urban | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 13 |
| 40 | Points | 29 |
| 38% | Win % | 28% |
| 1.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.41 |
| 2.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.79 |
Venue Form
Yunnan Yukun at Home
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
Shenyang Urban Away
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Yunnan Yukun
D
W
D
W
Shenyang Urban
W
L
L
D
