1
45%
Home Win
2.21
X
23%
Draw
4.31
2
32%
Away Win
3.17
xG Home
1.75
xG Away
1.43
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS
63%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Wuhan Three Towns an expected 1.7 goals and Sichuan Jiuniu an expected 1.4 goals. Wuhan Three Towns have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Sichuan Jiuniu at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.4%
2:1
9.1%
1:2
7.4%
1:0
7.3%
2:2
6.5%
2:0
6.4%
0:1
6%
3:1
5.3%
0:2
4.3%
0:0
4.2%
3:2
3.8%
3:0
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Wuhan Three Towns Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 35% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.86 |
| Market Odds | 3.04 |
Team Comparison
| Wuhan Three Towns | Sichuan Jiuniu | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 10 |
| 14 | Points | 20 |
| 21% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.32 |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.74 |
Venue Form
Wuhan Three Towns at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Sichuan Jiuniu Away
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Recent Form
Wuhan Three Towns
W
D
Sichuan Jiuniu
L
L
L
Head to Head
Sichuan Jiuniu
5 : 2
Wuhan Three Towns
L
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 2
Sichuan Jiuniu
W
Sichuan Jiuniu
1 : 2
Wuhan Three Towns
W
