1
35%
Home Win
2.89
X
27%
Draw
3.75
2
39%
Away Win
2.58
xG Home
1.23
xG Away
1.32
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sichuan Jiuniu an expected 1.2 goals and Henan FC an expected 1.3 goals. Sichuan Jiuniu have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Henan FC at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.7%
0:1
10.3%
1:0
9.6%
1:2
8.3%
0:0
7.8%
2:1
7.8%
0:2
6.8%
2:0
5.9%
2:2
5.1%
1:3
3.7%
3:1
3.2%
0:3
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Henan FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Henan FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 12 |
| 28 | Points | 27 |
| 31% | Win % | 31% |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.27 |
| 1.73 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
Venue Form
Sichuan Jiuniu at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Henan FC Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Sichuan Jiuniu
L
W
Henan FC
D
L
