1
18%
Home Win
5.56
X
19%
Draw
5.24
2
63%
Away Win
1.59
xG Home
1.16
xG Away
2.30
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Qingdao Jonoon an expected 1.2 goals and Beijing Guoan an expected 2.3 goals. Qingdao Jonoon have a 18% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Beijing Guoan at 63%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 67%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
9.6%
1:1
8.4%
0:2
8.3%
1:3
7.4%
0:1
7.2%
0:3
6.4%
2:2
5.6%
2:1
4.9%
2:3
4.3%
1:4
4.3%
0:4
3.7%
1:0
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Beijing Guoan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 63% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.59 |
| Market Odds | 1.69 |
Team Comparison
| Qingdao Jonoon | Beijing Guoan | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 3 |
| 14 | Points | 38 |
| 23% | Win % | 42% |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.88 |
| 2.04 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.27 |
Venue Form
Qingdao Jonoon at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Beijing Guoan Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Qingdao Jonoon
D
W
Beijing Guoan
D
W
