1
50%
Home Win
1.99
X
18%
Draw
5.56
2
32%
Away Win
3.16
xG Home
2.74
xG Away
2.20
Over 2.5 Goals
87%
BTTS
83%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Shanghai Shenhua an expected 2.7 goals and Yunnan Yukun an expected 2.2 goals. Shanghai Shenhua have a 50% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and Yunnan Yukun at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 87%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:2
6.5%
3:2
5.9%
2:1
5.9%
3:1
5.4%
2:3
4.8%
1:2
4.7%
3:3
4.4%
1:1
4.3%
4:2
4.1%
4:1
3.7%
1:3
3.5%
4:3
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Shanghai Shenhua Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Shanghai Shenhua | Yunnan Yukun | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 4 |
| 31 | Points | 38 |
| 46% | Win % | 42% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.08 |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.96 |
Venue Form
Shanghai Shenhua at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Yunnan Yukun Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Shanghai Shenhua
L
W
Yunnan Yukun
L
D
