1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.36
xG Away
1.23
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Wuhan Three Towns an expected 1.4 goals and Qingdao Youth Island an expected 1.2 goals. Wuhan Three Towns have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Qingdao Youth Island at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.5%
1:0
10.2%
0:1
9.2%
2:1
8.5%
1:2
7.7%
0:0
7.5%
2:0
6.9%
0:2
5.7%
2:2
5.3%
3:1
3.9%
1:3
3.2%
3:0
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Wuhan Three Towns Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Wuhan Three Towns | Qingdao Youth Island | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 7 |
| 22 | Points | 39 |
| 17% | Win % | 28% |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.1 |
| 1.9 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.31 |
Venue Form
Wuhan Three Towns at Home
W1
D3
L1
(5 games)
Qingdao Youth Island Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Wuhan Three Towns
L
D
D
W
D
Qingdao Youth Island
D
W
