1
33%
Home Win
3.07
X
28%
Draw
3.59
2
40%
Away Win
2.53
xG Home
1.11
xG Away
1.25
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Wuhan Three Towns an expected 1.1 goals and Chongqing Tongliang Long an expected 1.2 goals. Wuhan Three Towns have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Chongqing Tongliang Long at 40%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.1%
0:1
11.9%
1:0
10.5%
0:0
9.5%
1:2
8.2%
0:2
7.4%
2:1
7.3%
2:0
5.8%
2:2
4.5%
1:3
3.4%
0:3
3.1%
3:1
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Chongqing Tongliang Long Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Wuhan Three Towns | Chongqing Tongliang Long | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 2 |
| 14 | Points | 29 |
| 21% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.15 |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.1 |
Venue Form
Wuhan Three Towns at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Chongqing Tongliang Long Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Wuhan Three Towns
W
D
Chongqing Tongliang Long
L
Head to Head
Chongqing Tongliang Long
2 : 1
Wuhan Three Towns
L
