1
41%
Home Win
2.45
X
28%
Draw
3.63
2
32%
Away Win
3.16
xG Home
1.29
xG Away
1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Wuhan Three Towns an expected 1.3 goals and Chongqing Tongliang Long an expected 1.1 goals. Wuhan Three Towns have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Chongqing Tongliang Long at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13%
1:0
11.8%
0:1
10.1%
0:0
9.2%
2:1
8.4%
2:0
7.6%
1:2
7.2%
0:2
5.5%
2:2
4.6%
3:1
3.6%
3:0
3.3%
1:3
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Chongqing Tongliang Long Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Wuhan Three Towns | Chongqing Tongliang Long | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 9 |
| 21 | Points | 31 |
| 19% | Win % | 27% |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.04 |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.23 |
Venue Form
Wuhan Three Towns at Home
W1
D3
L0
(4 games)
Chongqing Tongliang Long Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Wuhan Three Towns
D
D
W
D
Chongqing Tongliang Long
L
Head to Head
Chongqing Tongliang Long
2 : 1
Wuhan Three Towns
L
