1
51%
Home Win
1.94
X
24%
Draw
4.26
2
25%
Away Win
3.99
xG Home
1.76
xG Away
1.16
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Wrexham an expected 1.8 goals and Watford an expected 1.2 goals. Wrexham have a 51% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Watford at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11%
2:1
9.7%
1:0
9.5%
2:0
8.4%
1:2
6.4%
0:1
6.3%
3:1
5.7%
2:2
5.6%
0:0
5.4%
3:0
4.9%
0:2
3.6%
3:2
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Wrexham Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| Wrexham | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 16 |
| 71 | Points | 57 |
| 41% | Win % | 30% |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.15 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
Venue Form
Wrexham at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Watford Away
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Recent Form
Wrexham
D
W
Watford
L
L
L
