1
33%
Home Win
3.05
X
23%
Draw
4.39
2
44%
Away Win
2.25
xG Home
1.51
xG Away
1.79
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
BTTS
65%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Wrexham an expected 1.5 goals and Southampton an expected 1.8 goals. Wrexham have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Southampton at 44%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10%
1:2
8.9%
2:1
7.5%
2:2
6.7%
0:1
6.6%
0:2
5.9%
1:0
5.6%
1:3
5.3%
2:0
4.2%
2:3
4%
3:1
3.8%
0:0
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Southampton Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Wrexham | Southampton | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 4 |
| 71 | Points | 80 |
| 41% | Win % | 48% |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.78 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.22 |
Venue Form
Wrexham at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Southampton Away
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Wrexham
D
D
W
Southampton
D
D
W
W
