1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.68
xG Away
1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Wrexham an expected 1.7 goals and Preston an expected 1.2 goals. Wrexham have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Preston at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.3%
2:1
9.5%
1:0
9.4%
2:0
7.9%
1:2
6.8%
0:1
6.8%
2:2
5.7%
0:0
5.6%
3:1
5.3%
3:0
4.4%
0:2
4.1%
3:2
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Wrexham Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| Wrexham | Preston | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 14 |
| 71 | Points | 60 |
| 41% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.2 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
Venue Form
Wrexham at Home
W2
D2
L0
(4 games)
Preston Away
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Wrexham
W
D
D
W
Preston
D
L
W
L
