1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.07
xG Away
1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Blackburn an expected 1.1 goals and Wrexham an expected 1.3 goals. Blackburn have a 31% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Wrexham at 42%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13%
0:1
12.2%
1:0
10%
0:0
9.4%
1:2
8.4%
0:2
7.9%
2:1
7%
2:0
5.4%
2:2
4.5%
1:3
3.7%
0:3
3.4%
3:1
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Wrexham Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| Blackburn | Wrexham | |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | League Position | 7 |
| 52 | Points | 71 |
| 28% | Win % | 41% |
| 0.91 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
Venue Form
Blackburn at Home
W3
D0
L2
(5 games)
Wrexham Away
W1
D1
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
Blackburn
W
W
L
L
W
Wrexham
L
L
D
L
W
