1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.94
xG Away
1.38
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Portsmouth FC an expected 0.9 goals and Millwall an expected 1.4 goals. Portsmouth FC have a 26% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Millwall at 47%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
13.6%
1:1
12.8%
0:0
9.9%
0:2
9.3%
1:0
9.3%
1:2
8.8%
2:1
6%
2:0
4.4%
0:3
4.3%
2:2
4.1%
1:3
4%
2:3
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Millwall Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| Portsmouth FC | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | League Position | 3 |
| 55 | Points | 83 |
| 30% | Win % | 52% |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
Venue Form
Portsmouth FC at Home
W3
D2
L0
(5 games)
Millwall Away
W1
D3
L2
(6 games)
Recent Form
Portsmouth FC
W
D
W
D
W
Millwall
L
D
L
D
D