1
31%
Home Win
3.24
X
25%
Draw
4.04
2
44%
Away Win
2.25
xG Home
1.27
xG Away
1.57
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Wrexham an expected 1.3 goals and Middlesbrough an expected 1.6 goals. Wrexham have a 31% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Middlesbrough at 44%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.6%
0:1
9.2%
1:2
9.1%
1:0
7.4%
2:1
7.4%
0:2
7.2%
0:0
5.8%
2:2
5.8%
1:3
4.8%
2:0
4.7%
0:3
3.8%
3:1
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Middlesbrough Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Wrexham | Middlesbrough | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 5 |
| 71 | Points | 80 |
| 41% | Win % | 48% |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.57 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.02 |
Venue Form
Wrexham at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Middlesbrough Away
W1
D3
L1
(5 games)
Recent Form
Wrexham
D
D
W
Middlesbrough
W
L
D
D
D
