1
44%
Home Win
2.3
X
25%
Draw
3.96
2
31%
Away Win
3.2
xG Home
1.51
xG Away
1.24
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Wrexham an expected 1.5 goals and Birmingham an expected 1.2 goals. Wrexham have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Birmingham at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.9%
1:0
9.6%
2:1
9%
0:1
7.9%
1:2
7.4%
2:0
7.3%
0:0
6.3%
2:2
5.6%
0:2
4.9%
3:1
4.6%
3:0
3.7%
1:3
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Wrexham Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Wrexham | Birmingham | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 10 |
| 71 | Points | 64 |
| 41% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.22 |
Venue Form
Wrexham at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Birmingham Away
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Wrexham
D
W
Birmingham
D
D